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(The Physics of Performance Curves: Transition Definitions, Growth Curve Hypotheses, and Future Scenarios)
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<center><big>'''Second International Conference on the'''</big><BR>
 
<h1 style="font-size:200%">'''Evolution and Development of the Universe'''</h1></center>
 
Proposed EDU 2012 Theme:<BR>
 
=== The Physics of Performance Curves: The Nature and Limits of Predictability of Performance Curves in Complex Systems  ===
 
 
 
'''Topics of Investigation:'''<BR>
 
* What models do we have for the physical basis of technology and complexity performance curves?<BR>
 
* Are these curves representative of undiscovered physical law or constraint, of economic or psychological expectations, or some other effect?<BR>
 
* Can we develop general unifying theories for any classes of performance curves?<BR>
 
* How do functional (physical process) performance curves differ from computational and informational performance curves?<BR>
 
* When does exponential performance end in any performance curve? When does it substitute?<BR>
 
* What explains the "smoothness" and predictability we find in many performance curves?
 
* Why are scale reduction processes persistently exponential, and which physical processes are leading candidates for continued scale reduction?<BR>
 
* What physical processes differentiate superexponential, exponential, logistic, life cycle, and other curves?<BR>
 
* What do exponential and superexponential performance and efficiency curves imply for the future of technological innovation and sustainability?<BR>
 
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We wish to seek out and network transition scholars, periodization, and acceleration, multi-level evolution and development scholars, world system modelers, and their critics. Scholars who approach evolutionary transitions from thermodynamic, informational-computational, evolutionary, developmental, integrative, and systemic perspectives are particularly desired. We will seek to compare logistic, exponential, and superexponential models arising from a variety of complexity transition definitions, and finally, explore a range of scenarios these models propose for the future of innovation and sustainability, underscoring the great technical, political, economic, and social value of better scholarship and science in this area.<BR>
 
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'''Location:''' (TBD).
 
 
 
We are presently developing a proposal to host EDU 2012 at a U.S. venue. If you have an interest in working on the EDU 2012 conference development committee, sponsoring the event, or providing other assistance, please contact [[Clément Vidal]] and/or [[John Smart]].
 

Latest revision as of 12:04, 23 September 2013

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